April 11, 2009
OUTCOME: Arreola by KO
ANDY'S PICK: McCline by TKO
THE PAYOUT:
-1.5 Units
This fight is simple. McCline starts fast and Arreola starts slow. Add to that the fact that Arreola weighed in at an appalling 255 and we have all the ingredients for an upset. Also, McCline knows this is do or die for him. He has come so close in the past and I expect him to lay it all on the line tonight. He will come out fast and furiously and the pudgy Arreola may be overwhelmed early. If he was in serious trouble against Travis Walker in his last fight, how will he fare against a raging 6'6" 271 pound McCline?
The way I see this fight going is McCline coming out and looking for the early knockout. Unless Arreola returns similar firepower he could be in trouble. The only problem is if McCline doesn't take Arreola out in the first three or four rounds he will lose the upper hand and most likely succumb to a decision loss. However, we have to call Arreola's stamina into question. Can he go the full twelve rounds carrying around that gut? Either way this will be a very interesting bout and certainly worth wagering a small bet on a McCline upset.
The way to bet this fight is 1.5 units on McCline straight at +300. The reason I don't bet the knockout is the premium is so tiny at +375. Also it's very conceivable that McCline could eke out a close decision. Good luck!
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