Oscar De La Hoya vs. Steve Forbes

May 3, 2008

OUTCOME: De LA Hoya by Unanimous Decision

ANDY'S PICK: De La Hoya by TKO 

THE BET:
3 Units on De La Hoya by KO at +240 

THE PAYOUT:
0 Units

There is no mystery who the winner will be this Saturday but there is still the question of whether it will be a decision or a knockout.  As much as I like Steve Forbes as a human being and an athlete, he has absolutely no business in the ring with a jr. middleweight let alone one of the greatest fighters of this generation.  Comparing resumes is a laughable exercise but there is one aspect that is important to note, and that is that Forbes has never been knocked down.  However he has also never been in with a puncher, and has hardly been in the ring with anyone over the jr. welterweight limit.  Even an old De La Hoya is 10x the puncher that Forbes has ever seen and with less than a 25% knockout ratio, Forbes will have nothing to keep Oscar from attacking with impunity.  Unless Forbes truly has a chin of steel or De La Hoya decides to play nice I don't see the ref letting this one go past 9.

At +240, the odds on a De La Hoya knockout are absurdly rich.  I would say that you are getting almost 3x the real odds.  This is an unbeatable value and the only bet to make on this mismatch.

Comments

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